49ers 38, Raiders 17: Our Backdoor Cover Dream Died Early

San Francisco cashed in at home, putting up 38 points on a Raiders team that managed only 17. The 49ers scored well above their 28.1 points-per-game average, and the Raiders fell short of their 27.6 season scoring pace. That combination is what buried the +9.5 we liked. Our model projected a 4-7 point San Francisco…