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Recap40d ago

Mariners Can't Solve Sasaki as Dodgers Roll 6-2, DarkHorse Pick Falls Flat

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Posted Jul 31, 2026, 6:50 AM

The Mariners limped into Chavez Ravine and promptly face-planted, dropping a 6-2 decision that sent our Mariners +1.5 pick straight to the shredder. So much for that "significant ERA advantage."

Bryce Miller's supposed dominance? Nowhere to be found. While we don't have his line, the scoreboard tells the story—the Dodgers hung six runs on Seattle, and Miller clearly didn't deliver the shutdown performance his 2.75 ERA promised. Meanwhile, Roki Sasaki—the guy we faded based on his 4.71 ERA and shaky peripherals—apparently decided tonight was the night to look like the phenom everyone expected when he crossed the Pacific. The Dodgers' offense gave him plenty of cushion, and Seattle's bats offered nothing in response beyond a pair of courtesy tallies.

That depleted Dodgers bullpen we targeted? Didn't matter. When you spot the home team a comfortable lead, even a skeleton crew can cruise to the finish line. The market had this at 58% Dodgers for a reason—home cooking plus superior lineup depth. We got cute chasing pitching matchup value and ignoring offensive firepower. The result: a four-run beatdown that never threatened our number. Sometimes the market's just right, and tonight was one of those nights.

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