Red Sox Look to Sweep Struggling Jays Behind Gray's Dominance

The Red Sox smell blood after taking Friday's opener 6-4, and Saturday sets up beautifully for the sweep. Toronto limps into Fenway riding a ghastly 2-8 stretch, while Boston has won nine of their last ten and looks downright unstoppable at home with a 7-1 record and nearly six runs per game on their own turf.

Sonny Gray gets the ball for Boston, and his 2.48 ERA and 1.12 WHIP represent exactly the kind of steady excellence that's fueled the Red Sox staff to a 3.56 team ERA—comfortably better than Toronto's 4.17 mark. Dylan Cease counters with elite strikeout stuff (13.37 K/9), but his 2.67 ERA trails Gray by nearly two-tenths, and the Blue Jays' porous road defense (4.88 runs allowed per game away) won't do him any favors.

The line sits at Red Sox -120, which translates to roughly 54.5% implied probability. Given the pitching edge, home dominance, and momentum chasm between these clubs, that's a reasonable ask. Toronto's bats managed four runs yesterday but couldn't solve Boston's depth. Expect more of the same. The Red Sox are rolling, Gray is dealing, and the Jays look cooked. Lay the short price and ride the home side.