Blue Jays Look to Bounce Back Behind Ace Cease in Bronx Rematch

The Blue Jays limped out of Yankee Stadium last night down 3-1, extending their road woes and watching New York's home win streak hit five games. Tonight they get another crack at the Bronx bullies, and this time they're sending out the big gun.

Dylan Cease takes the ball for Toronto, and the numbers don't lie: 2.42 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, punching out better than 13 per nine. He's been absolutely filthy this season, the kind of arm that can single-handedly flip a series on its head. Across the diamond? Ryan Weathers, a perfectly cromulent mid-rotation arm with a 3.56 ERA who simply doesn't operate in Cease's stratosphere. That 1.14 ERA gap is enormous, especially in a game priced this tight.

Yes, the Yankees are hot at home. Yes, the Blue Jays have been mediocre on the road, scoring just over five per game while allowing nearly 4.40. But when you've got an ace this dominant and the price is only -110, you're getting a discount. DarkHorse pegs Toronto's true win probability closer to 55-57 percent here—the starting pitching edge is simply too massive to ignore. The Jays should even this series before heading home.

The Pick: Blue Jays -110