Giants Keep Reds in the Cellar as Landen Roupp Gets the Ball

The Reds limp into Oracle Park having scored exactly one run in two straight losses to these Giants, and Wednesday's rubber match doesn't promise much relief. Cincinnati's offense is a 21-point batting average deficit behind San Francisco (.226 vs .247), and on the road they've been target practice—2-5 with nearly six runs surrendered per game. Nick Lodolo takes the bump sporting a bloated 5.04 ERA and 1.52 WHIP, numbers that scream "please tee off on me" to a Giants lineup that's been doing exactly that all series.

Landen Roupp counters with a 4.34 ERA that looks downright Cy Young-ish by comparison—a 0.70 run advantage that matters when the bats are this lopsided. The market has this priced as a virtual coin flip, but two games of evidence suggest otherwise: the Reds have managed half a run per contest in this season series and look completely overmatched.

DarkHorse is riding the home side again at Giants -115, the same price that cashed last night when San Francisco blanked Cincinnati's bats into submission. The value sits with the starter gap and offensive firepower, not to mention a Reds squad that can't buy a road win right now. Fade the visitors until they prove otherwise.