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Preview18d ago

Mets Carry Momentum into Subway Series Finale After Shellacking Yankees 12-2

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Posted Sep 13, 2026, 11:35 AM

Twenty-four hours after embarrassing the Yankees 12-2 in the Bronx, the Mets walk back into enemy territory with swagger and a scorching bat rack that's averaging 9.4 runs over their last five. That's not a typo. Meanwhile, Christian Scott takes the ball for Queens—a 3.81 ERA arm with strikeout stuff (10.87 K/9) who's more than capable of keeping this thing competitive against a Yankees lineup littered with sub-.700 OPS bats like McMahon and Semien.

Sure, Cam Schlittler is a monster for New York—2.01 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, the works—but the Mets have owned this season series 3-2 and are averaging over six runs per game against the Bronx Bombers. The Yankees are hot at home (7-2, 6.11 R/G), but they just got boat-raced yesterday and now face a Mets offense that's clicking on all cylinders at exactly the wrong time for the Pinstripes.

The market loves the Yankees' run line at 44.4% implied probability, but the data tells a different story. Away dogs getting 1.5 runs historically cash around 60%, and this matchup context screams value on the visitors. DarkHorse leans Mets +1.5 with moderate confidence—don't overthink the blowout hangover angle when the hotter offense is getting the cushion.

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