Royals Roll Into Rogers Centre Riding Nine Straight — Can Toronto Stop the Bleeding?

The Royals just took yesterday's series opener 5-3 and they're not slowing down. Kansas City has won nine consecutive games, averaging 5.5 runs per contest during a blistering 9-1 stretch that has them playing like October contenders in late August. Tonight they send Randy Dobnak to the hill, and here's where this gets interesting for bettors: Dobnak is dealing with a microscopic 1.58 ERA despite a bloated 1.40 WHIP that screams "due for regression." Except he keeps escaping trouble.

Spencer Miles counters for Toronto with a respectable 3.02 ERA and much cleaner 1.10 WHIP, giving the Blue Jays the pitching edge on paper. Home field matters, especially at Rogers Centre, and Miles has been the steadier arm all season. But momentum is a hell of a drug, and the Royals are mainlining it right now.

DarkHorse likes Kansas City at +115, arguing Dobnak's current dominance — however fluky it might be — creates a true win probability north of 50% when the market only requires 46.5% to profit. The 1.44 ERA gap between starters is real, even if it won't last forever. Ride the streak or trust the home nine? The number says take the visitors and their improbable run.