D.C. United's xG Fairy Tale Crashes Hard in Orlando

So much for regression to the mean. D.C. United rolled into Orlando carrying all those fancy underlying metrics and a -6.08 xG differential that supposedly screamed "buy low," and promptly got boat-raced 4-1. Our +0.5 pick? Dead on arrival. The Lions feasted at home, turning that 1.71 goals-per-game average into a…