San Diego FC limp into Fort Lauderdale and walk straight into a buzzsaw

San Diego FC's road trip to South Florida looks like a scheduled sacrifice. Inter Miami is humming at home—3.11 goals per game across nine fortress fixtures—and when you've got Messi and Suárez rested and ready after eight days off, you don't need a crystal ball to see where this is headed. Miami averages 2.44 goals per game overall and generates 2.25 xG, but the real story is San Diego's leaky defense: 1.68 goals conceded per match, 1.83 xGA. That's not surviving a night against two of the deadliest finishers in MLS history.

San Diego's been punching above their weight offensively—running a ridiculous plus-6.39 in goals versus expected goals—but that variance dries up fast on the road, where they've mustered a pathetic 0.67 goals per game. Still, even a busted clock finds a goal or two when Miami's backline gets adventurous, and the hosts won't park anything resembling a bus.

DarkHorse likes over 4.25 goals here at moderate confidence, and it's hard to argue. Miami should bag three or four on their own, and if San Diego's overperformance shows up for one last cameo, we're cashing comfortably. Bring popcorn—this one's got shootout written all over it.