Spurs Rolling Into Revenge Rematch Ready to Bury Depleted Mavs Again

Ten days ago, the Spurs boat-raced Dallas 122-106, and nothing about the rematch suggests a different outcome. San Antonio comes in scorching hot with five straight wins, averaging nearly 122 points during the streak, while the Mavs limp into the Alamo City off a loss and missing Max Christie, who's been shouldering 12-plus points in an expanded role. That absence matters more than the box score suggests—Dallas doesn't have the depth to absorb rotation hits against a Spurs squad playing this confidently.

Victor Wembanyama continues his ascent as a legitimate scoring force at 25.7 per game, and San Antonio's pace advantage (104.5 possessions versus Dallas's plodding 100.4) creates extra possessions that compound over 48 minutes. The Spurs also hold a slight but meaningful offensive efficiency edge, and when you're already winning by 16, those margins don't shrink—they expand.

DarkHorse is backing Spurs -11.5 with strong confidence, and it's hard to argue. Dallas showed no answers for Wembanyama last time, and they're thinner now than they were then. San Antonio's home court, momentum, and structural advantages make this spread look generous. The Mavs need a minor miracle to keep this within shouting distance. Lay the points and sleep easy.