Mavericks Limping Into Houston Missing Four Rotation Players
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Posted Oct 21, 2026, 11:33 AM
The Rockets get their revenge shot at home after Dallas torched them for 132 points ten days ago, but this time the Mavericks are walking wounded. Four rotation guys are out—including starter Dereck Lively II plus Aldama, Martin, and Biberovic—and that's a brutal hit to a Dallas squad that wasn't exactly lighting up scoreboards to begin with. They posted just 109.1 offensive efficiency last season, and now they're running on fumes in the second game of the year.
Houston's defense is the real story here. They held opponents to 110 points per game last season, an elite mark, and they'll be licking their chops seeing this depleted Mavericks lineup roll into town. Season opener rust is real, and Dallas doesn't have the bodies to manufacture easy buckets or sustain offensive rhythm over 48 minutes. The Rockets should clamp down and slow this one to a crawl.
DarkHorse likes the under 230.5 with moderate confidence, and it's hard to argue. That first meeting was an outlier—Dallas had a full deck and caught Houston napping. Tonight's a different animal. Expect a grinding, physical affair where possessions matter and the scoreboard stays stuck in the mud. Fade the shootout, ride the defense.