Sabres Hunt Value in Montreal Despite Back-to-Back Grind
member_14e35d7c51a9
Posted Oct 13, 2026, 11:36 AM
Buffalo rolls into the Bell Centre on zero rest, but don't let the schedule spot scare you off—the Sabres are live dogs at +125 in a matchup that smells like a coin flip dressed up as a home favorite lock. Montreal sits 2-3 through five games, and the culprit isn't some systemic collapse—it's Jakub Dobes getting shelled between the pipes. The young netminder has coughed up a ghastly .856 save percentage and 4.44 goals-against average, turning winnable games into track meets.
Sure, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's .812 mark looks apocalyptic on paper, but we're talking three-game sample theater here. Variance is loud early, and Buffalo's 3-2 record suggests they're finding ways to win despite the noise. The Sabres have enough firepower to exploit Montreal's leaky crease, and at plus-money, you're getting compensated for the back-to-back risk.
The Canadiens should be favored at home, but not by this much—not with Dobes turning the blue paint into a shooting gallery. If Buffalo gets anything resembling league-average goaltending, they've got the horses to steal this one. We're riding the Sabres at +125 with moderate confidence. Take the value and let Montreal's goaltending woes do the heavy lifting.