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Preview14d ago

Islanders' Fortress and Sorokin's Hot Hand Make Tampa's Road Trip a Nightmare

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Posted Oct 10, 2026, 11:37 AM

The Lightning roll into UBS Arena on Saturday night, and frankly, they should be nervous. Tampa Bay's lone road outing this season was an absolute disaster—one goal scored, five surrendered—and now they're walking into a buzzsaw. The Islanders are unbeaten at home, surrendering a microscopic half-goal per game on their own ice, and Ilya Sorokin is playing out of his mind. Through three starts, the Russian netminder is posting video-game numbers: .965 save percentage, 1.01 GAA. That's not a hot streak; that's a brick wall with a glove.

Meanwhile, Andrei Vasilevskiy—still a big name, sure—has been merely mortal at .900 and 2.05. That's fine against bottom-feeders, but against a structured Islanders squad that's locking it down defensively? Good luck. Tampa's offense hasn't found its road legs yet, and this environment won't help.

DarkHorse likes the Islanders at +140, a 3-out-of-5 confidence play that smells like value. When the goaltending gap is this wide and the home/road splits scream mismatch, you don't overthink it. The Bolts have the pedigree, but the Isles have the form. Ride Sorokin and cash that plus-money ticket before the market wises up.

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