Bills Roll Into Houston With Allen's Arm and a Chip on Their Shoulder

The Bills head to Houston as slim road favorites, and frankly, that's a gift. Buffalo's offense is a buzzsaw—28.3 points per game, 159.6 rushing yards, and Josh Allen doing Josh Allen things under center. Meanwhile, the Texans are trotting out Davis Mills, who saw action in just six games last season and remains a question mark at the league's most important position. That's not a recipe for confidence when you're catching a top-tier AFC contender in Week 1.

Houston's defense was stout last year, surrendering only 17.4 PPG compared to Buffalo's 21.5, but let's be real: the Bills' offensive firepower is a different animal. They averaged nearly five more points per game and ran the ball 50 yards better per contest than Houston managed. The Texans put up a respectable 23.8 PPG themselves, but that production gap looms large when you're facing an elite signal-caller.

The line moved half a point toward Houston without any injury bombshells, hinting at sharp action on the home dog. Still, we're riding with Buffalo at -1. Allen's dual-threat dominance and Buffalo's balanced attack should handle a Texans squad with more questions than answers. Lay the point, cash the ticket.