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Preview35d ago

Mets Look to Bury Struggling Guardians Behind McLean's Nasty Stuff

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Posted Aug 5, 2026, 11:35 AM

The Mets stroll into Progressive Field riding a 6-2 beatdown from last night, and Cleveland's got all the fight of a team that's dropped seven of ten. The pitching matchup screams road favorite: Nolan McLean brings a 3.29 ERA and electric 10.60 K/9 to the bump, while Slade Cecconi counters with a bloated 4.78 ERA and a WHIP that makes you wince. That's nearly a run-and-a-half gap in earned run average, and in a sport built on margins, that's a canyon.

Home cooking hasn't helped the Guardians lately—they're 3-6 at Progressive with pitchers coughing up 4.67 runs per game. The Mets, meanwhile, are playing competent .500 ball and just watched their lineup tee off on Cleveland's staff. DarkHorse likes the Mets moneyline at -116, a modest price for a meaningful edge. Yesterday's miss on the Guardians at -155 stings, but doubling down against this version of Cleveland feels less like stubbornness and more like reading the room. McLean's strikeout arsenal should carve up a lineup that's sputtering, and the Mets' recent form suggests they're not here to split. Lay the short number and ride the better arm.

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