Mets Roll With Scott After Gutting Out Yesterday's Win

The Mets just squeaked past Washington 5-4 yesterday, and now they get to run it back with a massive pitching edge that makes this feel like house money. Christian Scott takes the ball sporting a 3.45 ERA and punching out better than 11 per nine—this kid is the real deal, and he's facing Jake Irvin, who's been batting practice all year at 5.79. That's a 2.34-run gap between starters, which is basically a Grand Canyon in August baseball.

Washington's got CJ Abrams (.90 OPS) doing his best to carry the offense, but one hot bat doesn't overcome this kind of mismatch. The Mets counter with a balanced attack—Alvarez, Young, and Lindor all hovering around .77 OPS—and they've won seven of their last ten while finding ways to manufacture runs at home. Irvin's been hittable against everyone; he'll be hittable tonight.

DarkHorse likes the Mets moneyline at near-even money, a 3-out-of-5 confidence play that leans hard on the pitching disparity. Scott's stuff should dominate a Nationals lineup that lacks depth beyond Abrams, and the Mets have just enough pop to make Irvin pay early. This one sets up clean—take the home side and the elite arm.