Golden Knights limp into Vancouver on fumes — fade the inflated favorite

The Golden Knights roll into Rogers Arena on Sunday night carrying plenty of baggage and not much rest. Vegas is working the second half of a back-to-back, and if you've been paying attention, you know this squad hasn't exactly been rolling — they're 2-3 over their last five and look more mortal than the betting public seems to realize. Meanwhile, Vancouver sits fresh with two full days of rest, ready to pounce on a tired opponent in front of their home crowd.

Here's the kicker: Carter Hart, who's supposed to be Vegas' answer in net, has been leaking goals at an .870 save percentage through two starts. That's not just bad — it's exploitable. The Canucks aren't world-beaters, but they don't need to be when the opposition is dragging and their goalie is serving up soft ones.

The market has Vegas priced at -250, a number that screams brand-name tax rather than actual form. DarkHorse sees through the smoke and likes the Canucks at +200 — a confidence level of 3 out of 5, which feels about right for a situational underdog spot. This isn't about Vancouver being great; it's about Vegas being gassed and overvalued. Take the home dog and watch the Knights wilt.